Is AI Safety a Pascal's Mugging?

What people said

circuit10 · 2026-02 · Recommendation

Here’s a video called “Is AI safety a Pascal’s Mugging?”: [VIDEO] From what I remember the main point of the video is that kind of situation happens when the probability involved is vanishingly small, and all the events you listed don’t have a vanishingly small probability, so they are not Pascal’s wager situations, just a normal rational safety concerns with particularly high consequences

Read the original HN comment ↗

circuit10 · 2023-08 · Recommendation

The difference to Pascal’s wager is that with that the probability is vanishingly small, but given current progress the probability of AI causing an existential threat is actually quite high. You can’t just call anything that has very bad negative consequences Pascal’s wager Video about this: “Is AI Safety a Pascal’s Mugging?” [VIDEO]

Read the original HN comment ↗

mptest · 2023-07 · Recommendation

All of this discussion really makes me think of Robert Miles "Is ai safety a Pascal's mugging?" from 4 years(!) ago[0]. All of this discussion has been had by Ai safety researchers for years in my layman understanding... Maybe we can look to them for insight in to these questions? [0] [VIDEO]

Read the original HN comment ↗