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Clean Disruption - Why Energy & Transportation will be Obsolete by 2030 - Oslo, March 2016

Tony Seba · 554K views · 2016-04-02 · 53:54

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Overview

Tony Seba's 2016 keynote argues that batteries, electric vehicles, self-driving cars and solar will converge to disrupt energy and transportation. He predicts by 2030 all new vehicles will be electric and autonomous and that oil and other fossil fuels will be obsolete.

On Hacker News

Cited as a well-argued case that solar plus batteries and EVs will reach a tipping point sooner than mainstream forecasts expect.

Recommended by 3 HN people across 3 months · HN mentions 2016–2018

Topics

Renewables, batteries & storageCars, EVs & motorcyclesFuturism & technology and society
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electric vehiclessolar energybatteriesself-driving carstechnology disruption

What people said

b_emery · 2016-09 · Strong recommendation

As solar energy costs drop below those of fossil fuels [1], its seems possible that for a few trillion, some kind of sequestration would be possible. One could imagine entire PV farms devoted solely to restoration of the atmosphere to pre-industrial levels, for example. In my opinion, climate change is a problem with an engineering solution. As a side note, the linked reference is a well argued version of the near future of transportation and energy. Highly recommended [1] Clean Disruption - Why Energy & Transportation will be Obsolete by 2030 - [VIDEO]

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patrickk · 2017-02 · Recommendation

Another way to look at it: how big is the global market for gas peaker plants? If current trends continue, solar PV + batteries will be cheaper at some point than any fossil fuel[1], so at that point Telsa energy will begin to consume large chunks of that market. According to this link[2] gas peaker plans were 50% of energy installs in 2013, the best link I could find from a quick search. [1] Interesting talk on this topic: [VIDEO] [2] [LINK]

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spditner · 2016-10 · Recommendation

There's an excellent talk by Tony Seba at the Nordic Enegy Summit that goes into more depth about how batteries and solar are quite possibly going to reach the tipping point sooner than anyone has been forecasting: [VIDEO]

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Sources

Video by Tony Seba, played through YouTube.

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