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Democrats Need to Face Why Trump Won | The Ezra Klein Show

The Ezra Klein Show · 732.8K views · 2025-03-18 · 1:23:30

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Overview

Ezra Klein interviews Democratic pollster David Shor, who walks through survey data and charts explaining the 2024 election results. They discuss voter shifts, the education divide and what Democrats got wrong.

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HN commenters recommend it as a data-driven explanation of the 2024 election and voter trends.

Recommended by 4 HN people across 4 months · HN mentions 2025–2026

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What people said

Gareth321 · 2025-03 · Strong recommendation

If you have the time, I highly recommend this interview between Ezra Klein and Democrat strategist David Shor ( [VIDEO] ). He goes into a lot of the details around the question you imply. Long story short, Republicans have done that, but also on the issues people actually care about. This has given them a large trust lead in topics like the economy, crime, immigration, the border, etc. If Democrats had also hyperfocused on kitchen table issues, they might have won. By the time Kamala was campaigning, it was far too late to convince everyone that she actually cared about important issues. She had four years to prove she did not.

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everdrive · 2026-07 · Recommendation

Thanks for the clarification. The interesting thing about the 2024 election was that Trump's turnout was higher than 2016, and in addition, according to the polling and analysis I saw, this was one of the first times in a long time where if _more_ people had voted, he would have had _more_ votes. This is in pretty stark contrast to presidential voting trends for the last 30-40 years. So although I think you could paint 2016 as an "apathy" election (I would still argue that 2016 was more about two deeply unpopular candidates than anything else) I'm not sure that same analysis really applies to 2024. I'm basing a lot of this on this very interesting interview here -- [VIDEO] -- so to the extent that I'm wrong or you disagree, this at least gives some context to my claims.

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gsf_emergency_2 · 2025-07 · Recommendation

Sorry! That was careless phrasing. Thank you for fuzzing the careless thinking behind it. It should have been "Trump is now seen (and wants to be seen) by the right+(white) center left as moderate" Is that more reasonable? Imho Ezra Klein explains it better here [VIDEO] (Is he going for "Leto I Atreides"?)

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